Game Handicap: TSW (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.4pp
24h
+46.9pp
24h Vol
$1.8K
Liquidity
$73.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 47pp over 24h
Now 100¢; +0.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved up 46.9pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 3h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 18:15ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 3.4h
- 14:50SignalHIGH
Signal · Momentum up
Probability moved up 46.9pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 14:50SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 54.0pp
to 100¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 50¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 51¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 53¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 53¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 54¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 53¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 53¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 53¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 53¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 53¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 53¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 53¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 53¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.0pp
to 52¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 52¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Team Secret Whales and Ground Zero Gaming in the LCP Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Secret Whales" if Team Secret Whales wins 2 or more games than Ground Zero Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ground Zero Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).