Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)
Probability
40¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+6.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$521.89
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 40¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 23h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 13.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 23h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 23 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 22.7h
- 16:17SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 23h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 40¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 41¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 43¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 44¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 43¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 43¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 43¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 42¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 26¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 26¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 25¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 25¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 43¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 25¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 27¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 30¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 27¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 37¢+0.5pp
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Other · Vol $25.9K
- 41¢+3.0pp
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $171.29
- 12¢+0.5pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 41¢+2.0pp
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $167.62
- 49¢+3.5pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 76¢0.0pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 12¢-0.5pp
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 13¢0.0pp
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $3.8M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.4M
- 1¢-1.2pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $1.3M
- 100¢+35.4pp
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.1M
Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between Ultra Prime and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 26 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming wins 2 or more games than Ultra Prime in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Ultra Prime". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.