SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Probability

13¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$93.87

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:04
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 19h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 13.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 19h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 19 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 13:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 18.9h

    HIGH
  • 18:04Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 19h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 13¢.

Biggest hourly move: -38.5pp at 06:00 (to 13¢).

Show all 27 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:04 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 17:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 15:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 14:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 12:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 11:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 09:00 · -38.5pp → 13¢
  • 08:00 · -38.5pp → 13¢
  • 06:00 · -38.5pp → 13¢
  • 05:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 03:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 02:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 00:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 23:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 21:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 20:00 · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -38.0pp → 13¢
  • 1d ago · -37.5pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · -37.0pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · -35.0pp → 16¢
  • 2d ago · -35.5pp → 16¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
gol.gg
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (13.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.