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OtherExpires Apr 26, 2026

Spread: CD Guadalajara (-1.5)

Probability

46¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+1.0pp

24h Vol

$4.00

Liquidity

$33.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

-3.5pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 1pp over 24h

    Now 46¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 10h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 10h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 10 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 01:07Resolve

    Market resolves in 10.0h

    HIGH
  • 15:06Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 10h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Liga MX game, scheduled for April 25 at 9:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Guadalajara" if CD Guadalajara win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Club Tijuana". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligamx.net. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidosNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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