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OtherExpires Apr 26, 2026

FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis: O/U 1.5

Probability

82¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$11.26

Liquidity

$18.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+16.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 82¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $18.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 12h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 12 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 03:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 11.9h

    HIGH
  • 15:06Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 80¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 83¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.5pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 82¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 81¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Liga MX game between FC Juárez and Atlético San Luis, scheduled for April 25 at 11:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if FC Juárez and Atlético San Luis combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligamx.net. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://ligamx.net/cancha/partidosNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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