Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?
Probability
41¢
1h
+0.4pp
24h
-3.8pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$86.56
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 4pp over 24h
Now 41¢; +0.4pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 51.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6008.8h
- 15:12SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 41¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.3pp
to 55¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 56¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.2pp
to 45¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 43¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.1pp
to 41¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.4pp
to 37¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.3pp
to 36¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 38¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 39¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.9pp
to 51¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.1pp
to 52¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.6pp
to 52¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 26.3pp
to 64¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.1pp
to 63¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.4pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.8pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.7pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.9pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 66¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.6pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.7pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.2pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.4pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.8pp
to 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Locksley ceases to be the head football coach at the University of Maryland for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mike Locksley’s resignation or firing before the market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the University of Maryland and/or Mike Locksley; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (51.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).