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OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?

Probability

41¢

1h

+0.4pp

24h

-3.8pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$86.56

Probability (last 7 days)

-6.1pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:11
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 41¢; +0.4pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 51.4¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6008.8h

    LOW
  • 15:12Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 6009h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 4.3pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -5.2pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -7.1pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -9.1pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -14.4pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -16.3pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -8.2pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -6.3pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 6.9pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 10.1pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 13.6pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 26.3pp

    to 64¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 13.1pp

    to 63¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -4.3pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.4pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.8pp

    to 49¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.7pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.8pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.9pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 66¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.6pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.7pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.2pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.4pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.8pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Locksley ceases to be the head football coach at the University of Maryland for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mike Locksley’s resignation or firing before the market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the University of Maryland and/or Mike Locksley; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (51.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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