OtherExpires May 3, 2026

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets

Probability

56¢

1h

+3.5pp

24h

+4.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$353.04

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:21
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 5pp over 24h

    Now 56¢; +3.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 191h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 18.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 191.3h

    LOW
  • 18:21Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 191h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+3.5pp over the last 24h, now 56¢.

Biggest hourly move: +11.0pp at 10:00 (to 61¢).

Show all 22 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:21 · +6.5pp → 56¢
  • 17:00 · +3.0pp → 53¢
  • 15:00 · +5.0pp → 55¢
  • 14:00 · +6.0pp → 56¢
  • 12:00 · +10.0pp → 60¢
  • 10:00 · +11.0pp → 61¢
  • 08:00 · +3.5pp → 54¢
  • 06:00 · +3.5pp → 54¢
  • 05:00 · +3.0pp → 53¢
  • 02:00 · -3.0pp → 47¢
  • 00:00 · -5.0pp → 45¢
  • 1d ago · +3.0pp → 53¢
  • 1d ago · +4.5pp → 55¢
  • 1d ago · +3.5pp → 54¢
  • 1d ago · +7.0pp → 57¢
  • 1d ago · +9.0pp → 59¢
  • 1d ago · +8.0pp → 58¢
  • 1d ago · +8.5pp → 59¢
  • 1d ago · +8.0pp → 58¢
  • 1d ago · +7.0pp → 57¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 57¢
  • 2d ago · +6.0pp → 57¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and New York Mets, scheduled for April 26 at 1:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Colorado Rockies or New York Mets. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 3, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
MLB.comOfficial sports result
mlb.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (18.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.