Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5
Probability
31¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$308.74
Liquidity
$11.1K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 31¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $11.1k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 11h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 23:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 10.6h
- 12:51SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 32¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 31¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 31¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 32¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 32¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 32¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 32¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 32¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 32¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 26¢-1.5pp
Spread: Columbus Crew (-1.5)
Other · Vol $769.73
- 16¢-0.5pp
Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $556.39
- 56¢-1.0pp
Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Score
Other · Vol $0.00
- 9¢0.0pp
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 11¢-2.5pp
Spread: Columbus Crew (-2.5)
Other · Vol $360.99
- 3¢-0.7pp
Spread: Philadelphia Union (-2.5)
Other · Vol $126.12
- 78¢-1.5pp
Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 54¢-1.5pp
Columbus Crew vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $24.01
- 2¢-2.3pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $719.5K
- 11¢-29.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $648.9K
- 85¢+0.5pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $567.1K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $541.3K
Market Description
In the upcoming MLS game between Columbus Crew and Philadelphia Union, scheduled for April 25 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Columbus Crew and Philadelphia Union combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.mlssoccer.com/schedule/scoresNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).