Comfortable-Spite
0x4e0afd166e16da75d91bd7dc3bcb92b25b93c288
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
53
Open notional
$247.19
Total PnL
$-270.21
Realised
$35.71
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 53- NO
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
50 shares @ 70.3¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.00
$1.83
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
37 shares @ 54.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$36.91
$16.91
- NO
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
79 shares @ 52.6¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.82
$-18.60
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
26 shares @ 58.5¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.65
$5.65
- NO
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
25 shares @ 65.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.38
$3.13
- YES
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31?
51 shares @ 53.4¢·now 35.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.67
$-9.31
- NO
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
19 shares @ 54.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$15.09
$5.09
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 14 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$11.24
$1.24
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 10 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
11 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$11.24
$1.24
- NO
Named storm forms before hurricane season?
10 shares @ 70.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$2.95
Recent activity
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$25.64Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?$1.79Jul 3, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEM Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$12.35Jul 1, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$203.11Jun 18, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 17, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 17, 08:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Jun 17, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$20.00Jun 13, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$40.00Jun 13, 09:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$50.00Jun 13, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?$20.62Jun 13, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$5.77Jun 13, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$20.41Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for March 11 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?$12.20Jun 13, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$34.93Jun 13, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNo one announced as next James Bond?$0.81Jun 12, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLNo one announced as next James Bond?$4.30Jun 12, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$100.00Jun 12, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$20.00Jun 12, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?$30.00Jun 12, 12:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $24.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 17:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 15:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.