Mike Conley: Assists O/U 3.5
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+22.5pp
24h Vol
$600.49
Liquidity
$1.45
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 01Price move
Up 23pp over 24h
Now 51¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 02Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03Spread cost
Wide spread — 99.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 04Resolution proximity
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 04:56SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 02:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
Price movement
+21.5pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 27 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Conley records more than 3.5 assists during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Mike Conley records 3.5 assists or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 28, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 28, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (99.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.