SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 4.5

Probability

74¢

1h

-1.0pp

24h

-2.0pp

24h Vol

$1.5K

Liquidity

$6.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+22.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:07
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Down 2pp over 24h

    Now 74¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 23h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $6.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 4

    Expiry in 23h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 23 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 20:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 23.4h

    HIGH
  • 21:07Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 23h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 74¢.

Biggest hourly move: +17.5pp at 2d ago (to 70¢).

Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 21:00 · +14.0pp → 74¢
  • 20:00 · +15.0pp → 75¢
  • 19:00 · +5.5pp → 75¢
  • 17:00 · +5.0pp → 75¢
  • 15:00 · +4.5pp → 75¢
  • 14:00 · +4.5pp → 75¢
  • 12:00 · +5.0pp → 75¢
  • 11:00 · +5.0pp → 75¢
  • 09:00 · +12.0pp → 75¢
  • 08:00 · +11.0pp → 75¢
  • 06:00 · +6.0pp → 76¢
  • 05:00 · +14.0pp → 76¢
  • 03:00 · +6.5pp → 76¢
  • 02:00 · +6.5pp → 76¢
  • 00:00 · +6.5pp → 76¢
  • 23:00 · +6.0pp → 76¢
  • 1d ago · +6.0pp → 76¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 76¢
  • 1d ago · +15.5pp → 76¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 76¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 75¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 75¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 75¢
  • 1d ago · +16.5pp → 75¢
  • 1d ago · +16.0pp → 75¢
  • 2d ago · +14.5pp → 73¢
  • 2d ago · +12.5pp → 71¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 67¢
  • 2d ago · -7.5pp → 61¢
  • 2d ago · +10.0pp → 71¢
  • 2d ago · +8.5pp → 70¢
  • 2d ago · +17.5pp → 70¢
  • 2d ago · +6.0pp → 70¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 26 at 4:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Avalanche and Kings combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts
Type
Ambiguous wording
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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