Silly-Men
0x695c1dbc0cf3d4758c8879ea5139c1615d9310a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
155
Open notional
$10.1K
Total PnL
$3.7K
Realised
$554.68
Win rate
90%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 155- NO
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
1004 shares @ 24.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$878.64
$628.77
- NO
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
877 shares @ 28.4¢·now 95.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$836.22
$586.67
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
1324 shares @ 24.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$668.62
$345.21
- NO
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
854 shares @ 25.3¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$640.50
$424.73
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
434 shares @ 31.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$323.33
$188.62
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
385 shares @ 30.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$321.16
$202.81
- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
423 shares @ 35.3¢·now 71.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$302.44
$153.30
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
633 shares @ 33.5¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$256.37
$44.51
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
244 shares @ 26.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$237.78
$174.15
- YES
Blue wave in 2026?
326 shares @ 33.9¢·now 72.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$234.72
$124.10
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$24.00Jun 12, 18:02 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by June 30?$119.00Jun 12, 00:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$135.01Jun 6, 02:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?$964.44Jun 5, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Freedom Movement (GS) be part of the next Government of Slovenia?$198.00Jun 5, 08:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMCory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?$0.00Jun 4, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Oman send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$0.00Jun 4, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.00Jun 4, 20:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $409.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.