Silly-Men
0x695c1dbc0cf3d4758c8879ea5139c1615d9310a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$7.2K
Total PnL
$3.7K
Realised
$367.18
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- NO
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
877 shares @ 28.4¢·now 94.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$829.64
$580.09
- NO
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
854 shares @ 25.3¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$742.98
$527.21
- YES
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
1324 shares @ 24.4¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$668.62
$345.21
- NO
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
434 shares @ 31.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$336.35
$201.64
- NO
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?
423 shares @ 35.3¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$336.29
$187.14
- NO
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
364 shares @ 30.1¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$293.02
$183.56
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
292 shares @ 31.1¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$267.19
$176.51
- NO
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?
405 shares @ 20.0¢·now 63.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$258.80
$177.79
- YES
Blue wave in 2026?
326 shares @ 33.9¢·now 74.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$242.87
$132.25
- NO
Will the US federal government take a stake in Rigetti Computing, Inc.?
802 shares @ 14.5¢·now 29.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$239.80
$123.78
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMOver $1B crypto hack value in 2026?$0.00Jul 18, 18:52 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 18:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.