OtherExpires Jan 1, 2027

Over $200B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?

Probability

40¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$55.71

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:51
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 57.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 6011.1h

    LOW
  • 17:51Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 6011h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 40¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total amount wagered on U.S. sports betting in 2026 is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source will be Legal Sports Report (https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting-states/revenue/), using the “U.S. sports betting revenue by month” table. The annual data will be calculated by summing the values in the “Handle” column for all months in 2026 once the relevant information is available. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable sources

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jan 1, 2027
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
other reliable sourcesAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
legalsportsreport.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (57.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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