Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Probability
17¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$6.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-0.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 17¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 14768h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 12.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 14768.1h
- 20:51SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 14768h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 17¢.
Biggest hourly move: +3.5pp at 2d ago (to 21¢).
Show all 2 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 21¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
11- 25¢0.0pp
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 14¢+2.5pp
Perena FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 24¢-3.0pp
Perena FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 38¢+3.5pp
Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 9¢-0.1pp
Perena FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+22.4pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.2M
- 1¢-0.2pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $364.1K
- 100¢+54.4pp
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $320.8K
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $289.3K
- 84¢-3.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $247.0K
- 0¢-3.0pp
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $240.2K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Perena's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Perena doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2028
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryusing the total token supply multiplied by the token priceTypeAmbiguous wordingConfidenceextracted · low
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (12.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.