Spread: Casa Pia AC (-2.5)
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-6.0pp
24h Vol
$26.13
Liquidity
$1.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 4¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 50h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $1.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 50h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 50 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 50.2h
- 17:01SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 50h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 4¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 4¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 5¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 5¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 5¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 5¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 5¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 5¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 5¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 5¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 5¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 18.0pp
to 28¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.5pp
to 8¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.5pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.5pp
to 8¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -36.5pp
to 8¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for April 27 at 3:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Casa Pia AC" if Casa Pia AC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Gil Vicente FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligaportugal.pt. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsligaportugal.pt
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.