Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)

1. 1

   Down 3pp over 24h

   Now 34¢; flat in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 49h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $1.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

4. 4

   Expiry in 49h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

In the upcoming Primeira Liga game, scheduled for April 27 at 3:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Gil Vicente FC" if Gil Vicente FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Casa Pia AC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligaportugal.pt. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.