SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Rainbow Six Siege: Man eSports LFO vs Chiefs Esports Club (BO3) - Asia-Pacific League Kickoff: Oceania Playoffs

Probability

45¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$543.49

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 45¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 31.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 13h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 13 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 09:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 12.6h

    HIGH
  • 20:25Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 13h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.

Biggest hourly move: +13.5pp at 1d ago (to 46¢).

Show all 37 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 20:00 · +4.5pp → 45¢
  • 19:00 · +4.5pp → 45¢
  • 17:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
  • 16:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
  • 15:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
  • 13:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
  • 12:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
  • 10:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
  • 09:00 · +13.5pp → 46¢
  • 08:00 · +13.0pp → 46¢
  • 06:00 · +13.5pp → 46¢
  • 05:00 · +13.0pp → 46¢
  • 03:00 · +13.0pp → 46¢
  • 02:00 · +13.0pp → 46¢
  • 01:00 · +8.5pp → 46¢
  • 22:00 · +4.5pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · +13.5pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · +9.0pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · +9.0pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · +9.0pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · +11.0pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · +12.0pp → 46¢
  • 2d ago · +6.0pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 41¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 41¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · +7.0pp → 40¢
  • 2d ago · +8.0pp → 41¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 41¢
  • 2d ago · -10.5pp → 41¢
  • 2d ago · -10.5pp → 41¢
  • 3d ago · -10.5pp → 41¢
  • 3d ago · -10.0pp → 41¢
  • 3d ago · -10.5pp → 41¢
  • 3d ago · -10.5pp → 41¢
  • 3d ago · -10.5pp → 41¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Lower bracket final match between Man eSports LFO and Chiefs Esports Club in the Asia-Pacific League Kickoff: Oceania Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Man eSports LFO" if Man eSports LFO win the match against Chiefs Esports Club. This market will resolve to "Chiefs Esports Club" if Chiefs Esports Club win the match against Man eSports LFO. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (31.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.