Rainbow Six Siege: Man eSports LFO vs Chiefs Esports Club - Game 1 Winner
Probability
45¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$520.64
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 45¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 54.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 11h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 11 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 07:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 11.0h
- 20:00SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.
Biggest hourly move: -9.0pp at 2d ago (to 43¢).
Show all 29 hour-by-hour ticks
- 10:00 · +7.0pp → 45¢
- 09:00 · +3.5pp → 45¢
- 06:00 · +7.0pp → 45¢
- 05:00 · +8.0pp → 46¢
- 03:00 · +6.0pp → 45¢
- 02:00 · +4.5pp → 45¢
- 23:00 · +4.0pp → 45¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · +3.0pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · +4.5pp → 46¢
- 1d ago · +7.0pp → 44¢
- 1d ago · +6.5pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · +5.5pp → 47¢
- 1d ago · -4.0pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 41¢
- 2d ago · -3.0pp → 35¢
- 2d ago · +3.5pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +6.0pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · +5.0pp → 42¢
- 2d ago · -9.0pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 43¢
- 2d ago · -8.0pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · -7.0pp → 44¢
- 2d ago · -7.5pp → 44¢
- 3d ago · -6.5pp → 44¢
- 3d ago · -7.0pp → 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
10- 45¢-0.5pp
Rainbow Six Siege: Man eSports LFO vs Chiefs Esports Club (BO3) - Asia-Pacific League Kickoff: Oceania Playoffs
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 49¢0.0pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 45¢-0.5pp
Rainbow Six Siege: Man eSports LFO vs Chiefs Esports Club - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 43¢+1.0pp
Game Handicap: CHF (-1.5) vs Man eSports LFO (+1.5)
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+32.5pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $4.3M
- 100¢+40.5pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $3.9M
- 72¢-6.0pp
Thunder vs. Suns
Sports · Vol $2.0M
- 0¢-52.4pp
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 17¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.4M
Market Description
This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Lower bracket final match between Man eSports LFO and Chiefs Esports Club in the Asia-Pacific League Kickoff: Oceania Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Man eSports LFO" if Man eSports LFO win Game 1 against Chiefs Esports Club. This market will resolve to "Chiefs Esports Club" if Chiefs Esports Club win Game 1 against Man eSports LFO. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (54.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.