SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Rainbow Six Siege: Man eSports LFO vs Chiefs Esports Club - Game 2 Winner

Probability

45¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$492.03

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 08:00Apr 25, 2026, 20:26
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 58.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 11h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 11 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 07:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 10.6h

    HIGH
  • 20:26Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 11h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.

Biggest hourly move: -9.0pp at 2d ago (to 43¢).

Show all 18 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 09:00 · +3.0pp → 45¢
  • 06:00 · +7.0pp → 45¢
  • 05:00 · +7.5pp → 46¢
  • 03:00 · +6.5pp → 46¢
  • 02:00 · +4.5pp → 46¢
  • 23:00 · +5.0pp → 46¢
  • 21:00 · +8.0pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · +8.0pp → 46¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 45¢
  • 1d ago · +4.0pp → 45¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 43¢
  • 1d ago · +6.0pp → 47¢
  • 1d ago · -5.0pp → 36¢
  • 2d ago · -6.0pp → 37¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 35¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 42¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -9.0pp → 43¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Rainbow Six Siege Lower bracket final match between Man eSports LFO and Chiefs Esports Club in the Asia-Pacific League Kickoff: Oceania Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Man eSports LFO" if Man eSports LFO win Game 2 against Chiefs Esports Club. This market will resolve to "Chiefs Esports Club" if Chiefs Esports Club win Game 2 against Man eSports LFO. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 2. If Game 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/rainbowsix/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (58.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.