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OtherExpires May 11, 2026

Spread: FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod (-2.5)

Probability

24¢

1h

-0.1pp

24h

+15.7pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$796.72

Probability (last 7 days)

+20.6pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 16pp over 24h

    Now 24¢; -0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 381h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 46.3¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 381.1h

    LOW
  • 15:06Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 381h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 18.9pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 19.0pp

    to 24¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 18.9pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 17.1pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 20.4pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 20.4pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 20.4pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 19.8pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 19.8pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 19.8pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 19.8pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 7.1pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 10.1pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.6pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.6pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.6pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.6pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.7pp

    to 5¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Russian Premier League game, scheduled for May 11 at 8:15 AM ET: This market will resolve to "FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod" if FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "PFK CSKA Moskva". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierliga.ru. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 11, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://premierliga.ru/News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (46.3¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).