Will Reds win?
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-24.4pp
24h Vol
$944.49
Liquidity
$4.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
-49.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 163.2h
- 12:20SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 163h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -27.5pp
to 0¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.5pp
to 0¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 50¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 23¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 25¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 25¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 25¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 26¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 28¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 20¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 28¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 28¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 28¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 28¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 30¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.5pp
to 25¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 30¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.5pp
to 26¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.0pp
to 31¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -24.0pp
to 24¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.0pp
to 27¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 29¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 28¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 30¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026 If Reds wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://super.rugby/
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- UMA status: proposed
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).