Will the match end in a draw?
Probability
22¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-17.8pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$22.42
Probability (last 7 days)
-27.2pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 18pp over 24h
Now 22¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 643h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 37.4¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 642.5h
- 00:13SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 643h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.6pp over the last 24h, now 22¢.
Biggest hourly move: +30.6pp at 2d ago (to 38¢).
Show top 8 of 32 hourly moves
- 05:00 · -20.4pp → 21¢
- 2d ago · +27.6pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +29.8pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · +26.7pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · +26.4pp → 39¢
- 2d ago · +30.6pp → 38¢
- 2d ago · +30.4pp → 40¢
- 2d ago · -28.4pp → 38¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 15 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 22, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (37.4¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.