Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
Probability
26¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$829.83
Liquidity
$9.2K
Probability (last 7 days)
+11.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 26¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1586.6h
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 26¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 24¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 24¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 25¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 24¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.0pp
to 25¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 23¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 23¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 23¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 23¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 23¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 25¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 19¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 16¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 14¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Silver (SI) futures is equal to or below the listed price by the final trading day of June 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month. Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count. Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract. Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored. This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/silver.settlements.html
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
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