UnclassifiedExpires Apr 30, 2026
Creator

Spread: Al Fayha Saudi Club (-2.5)

Probability

1h

+0.3pp

24h

-3.9pp

24h Vol

$5.2K

Liquidity

$10.4K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 30, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (4.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

-31.9pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 20:00Apr 30, 2026, 19:12
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 3¢; +0.3pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 03
    Spread cost

    Wide spread — 4.6¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 04
    Resolution proximity

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:12Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 17:00Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-3.9pp over the last 24h, now 3¢.

Biggest hourly move: -18.5pp at 3d ago (to 13¢).

Show top 8 of 50 hourly moves
  • 3d ago · -14.0pp → 7¢
  • 3d ago · -14.0pp → 7¢
  • 3d ago · -14.0pp → 7¢
  • 3d ago · -14.0pp → 7¢
  • 3d ago · -14.0pp → 7¢
  • 3d ago · -18.5pp → 12¢
  • 3d ago · -18.5pp → 13¢
  • 4d ago · -18.0pp → 17¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for April 30 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Fayha Saudi Club" if Al Fayha Saudi Club win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Kholood Saudi Club". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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