Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $9,300 (HIGH) in December?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$13.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $13.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5964.0h
Price movement
-0.1pp over the last 24h, now 5¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 17¢-1.0pp
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 45¢0.0pp
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,600 (HIGH) in December?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+8.0pp
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,600 (LOW) in December?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 57¢-2.2pp
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
Other · Vol $367.67
- 20¢+1.0pp
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December?
Other · Vol $157.20
- 10¢0.0pp
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,600 (HIGH) in December?
Other · Vol $621.54
- 31¢+0.5pp
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,800 (HIGH) in December?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 71¢0.0pp
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (HIGH) in December?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 4¢0.0pp
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Other · Vol $436.6K
- 36¢-1.1pp
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $367.6K
- 11¢0.0pp
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $263.6K
- 12¢+1.4pp
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $256.4K
- 56¢+2.0pp
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?
Other · Vol $236.5K
- 30¢+25.9pp
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Other · Vol $222.6K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.