Will Themba Gorimbo win by KO or TKO?
Probability
52¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$72.81
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 52¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 172h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 87.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 172.2h
- 23:49SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 172h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 52¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Fight to Go the Distance?
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O/U 1.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
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O/U 2.5 Rounds
Other · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Themba Gorimbo defeats Jonathan Micallef at UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates, scheduled for May 2, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 16, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 3, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primary
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (87.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.