Games Total: O/U 2.5
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+51.9pp
24h Vol
$293.70
Liquidity
$15.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 52pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $15.9k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 22:04SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 21:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 1h ago
Price movement
+54.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +51.0pp at 21:00 (to 100¢).
Show top 8 of 14 hourly moves
- 22:00 · +51.0pp → 100¢
- 21:00 · +51.0pp → 100¢
- 20:00 · +50.6pp → 100¢
- 19:00 · +50.7pp → 100¢
- 17:00 · +50.6pp → 100¢
- 16:00 · +39.0pp → 88¢
- 02:00 · -9.5pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · +11.0pp → 49¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between Esprit Shōnen and F9 EICAR in the VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Esprit Shōnen and F9 EICAR play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.