SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 Winner

Probability

1h

+0.1pp

24h

-43.4pp

24h Vol

$7.0K

Liquidity

$9.6K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 43pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $9.6k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 3h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 21:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.6h

    HIGH
  • 18:24Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-43.9pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -46.4pp at 18:24 (to 0¢).

Show all 18 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:24 · -46.4pp → 0¢
  • 17:00 · -45.5pp → 0¢
  • 16:00 · -33.0pp → 12¢
  • 10:00 · -4.0pp → 45¢
  • 05:00 · -3.5pp → 45¢
  • 2d ago · -5.0pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 45¢
  • 2d ago · -5.0pp → 44¢
  • 2d ago · -5.5pp → 45¢
  • 2d ago · -5.5pp → 45¢
  • 2d ago · -8.0pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -6.5pp → 45¢
  • 2d ago · -8.0pp → 42¢
  • 2d ago · -6.0pp → 45¢
  • 2d ago · -9.0pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -7.0pp → 45¢
  • 2d ago · -8.0pp → 43¢
  • 2d ago · -7.0pp → 43¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between Esprit Shōnen and F9 EICAR in the VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Esprit Shōnen" if Esprit Shōnen win Map 2 against F9 EICAR. This market will resolve to "F9 EICAR" if F9 EICAR win Map 2 against Esprit Shōnen. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
vlr.gg
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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