Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
Probability
52¢
1h
-10.5pp
24h
+10.0pp
24h Vol
$2.3K
Liquidity
$8.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 10pp over 24h
Now 52¢; -10.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 4h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 4 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 21:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.4h
- 16:35SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 4h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 49¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 42¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 42¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 42¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 42¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 42¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 43¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 41¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between Esprit Shōnen and F9 EICAR in the VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Esprit Shōnen" if Esprit Shōnen win the match against F9 EICAR. This market will resolve to "F9 EICAR" if F9 EICAR win the match against Esprit Shōnen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://vlr.ggNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).