Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 Winner
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+55.5pp
24h Vol
$8.3K
Liquidity
$305.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Up 55pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $8.3k traded against $305.8k of visible liquidity (0.03× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 23:47SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 21:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 3h ago
Price movement
+55.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +57.0pp at 19:00 (to 100¢).
Show top 8 of 13 hourly moves
- 23:47 · +55.0pp → 100¢
- 22:00 · +57.0pp → 100¢
- 21:00 · +56.5pp → 100¢
- 20:00 · +56.3pp → 100¢
- 19:00 · +57.0pp → 100¢
- 17:00 · +54.4pp → 100¢
- 16:00 · +54.0pp → 100¢
- 09:00 · +5.5pp → 48¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
10- 0¢-41.4pp
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
Sports · Vol $26.3K
- 0¢-44.5pp
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $7.2K
- 100¢+53.9pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $293.70
- 0¢-33.0pp
Map Handicap: F9 (-1.5) vs Esprit Shōnen (+1.5)
Other · Vol $61.15
Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between Esprit Shōnen and F9 EICAR in the VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Esprit Shōnen" if Esprit Shōnen win Map 1 against F9 EICAR. This market will resolve to "F9 EICAR" if F9 EICAR win Map 1 against Esprit Shōnen. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.