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SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Map Handicap: FUR (-1.5) vs KRÜ Esports (+1.5)

Probability

28¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$48.00

Liquidity

$4.1K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 17:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:10
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 12h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 12 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 03:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 11.8h

    HIGH
  • 15:11Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 12h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 28¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -19.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between FURIA Esports and KRÜ Esports in the VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega, initially scheduled for April 25 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "FURIA Esports" if FURIA Esports wins 2 or more maps than KRÜ Esports in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "KRÜ Esports". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://vlr.ggNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

2 wallets