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SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports - Map 1 Winner

Probability

73¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$1.3K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 14:46
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 6.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  3. 3

    Expiry in 7h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 7 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 21:30Resolve

    Market resolves in 6.7h

    HIGH
  • 14:46Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 7h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 14:46Price

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 73¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 24.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.0pp

    to 74¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Misa Esports and Galatasaray Esports in the VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Map 1 against Galatasaray Esports. This market will resolve to "Galatasaray Esports" if Galatasaray Esports win Map 1 against Misa Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://vlr.ggNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.