Valorant: Misa Esports vs Galatasaray Esports - Map 2 Winner
Probability
74¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+2.0pp
24h Vol
$6.73
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 2pp over 24h
Now 74¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 9h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 9.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 9h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 21:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 8.6h
- 12:52SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 9h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 74¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 74¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 74¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 74¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 74¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 74¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 74¢
- 01:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 74¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 74¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 74¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 72¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 72¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Misa Esports and Galatasaray Esports in the VCL Türkiye: Birlik Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Misa Esports" if Misa Esports win Map 2 against Galatasaray Esports. This market will resolve to "Galatasaray Esports" if Galatasaray Esports win Map 2 against Misa Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://vlr.ggNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (9.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).