SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Valorant: RIZON vs ALTERNATE aTTaX - Map 1 Winner

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+43.0pp

24h Vol

$241.58

Liquidity

$277.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 23:23
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Up 43pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

  • 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 23:23Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Resolve

    Market resolved 1h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+43.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +45.0pp at 20:00 (to 100¢).

Show top 8 of 15 hourly moves
  • 23:23 · +45.0pp → 100¢
  • 22:00 · +44.5pp → 100¢
  • 21:00 · +45.0pp → 100¢
  • 20:00 · +45.0pp → 100¢
  • 19:00 · +44.4pp → 99¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +6.0pp → 56¢
  • 2d ago · +6.0pp → 56¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between RIZON and ALTERNATE aTTaX in the VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 25 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RIZON" if RIZON win Map 1 against ALTERNATE aTTaX. This market will resolve to "ALTERNATE aTTaX" if ALTERNATE aTTaX win Map 1 against RIZON. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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