SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Map Handicap: RZN (-1.5) vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (+1.5)

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+65.0pp

24h Vol

$5.58

Liquidity

$11.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 21, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 23:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Up 65pp over 24h

    Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $11.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 4

    Expiry in 1h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 0.6h

    HIGH
  • 23:24Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+65.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

Biggest hourly move: +75.0pp at 21:00 (to 100¢).

Show top 8 of 22 hourly moves
  • 23:24 · +73.5pp → 100¢
  • 22:00 · +73.5pp → 100¢
  • 21:00 · +75.0pp → 100¢
  • 20:00 · +74.5pp → 100¢
  • 19:00 · +24.5pp → 50¢
  • 06:00 · +11.5pp → 39¢
  • 2d ago · -15.0pp → 35¢
  • 2d ago · -15.0pp → 35¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between RIZON and ALTERNATE aTTaX in the VCL DACH: Evolution Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 25 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "RIZON" if RIZON wins 2 or more maps than ALTERNATE aTTaX in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "ALTERNATE aTTaX". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Link
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

2 wallets