Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?
Probability
45¢
1h
+1.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$375.16
Probability (last 7 days)
+30.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 45¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1594h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 62.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1594.3h
- 13:41SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1594h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 44¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 24.0pp
to 46¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 44¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.5pp
to 46¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.0pp
to 43¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.0pp
to 45¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 45¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.5pp
to 47¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 23.0pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.5pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 27.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 25.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 28.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 14.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 21.0pp
to 46¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Victoria Chun ceases to be the Athletic Director at Yale University for any length of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Victoria Chun’s resignation or firing before the market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from Yale University and/or Victoria Chun; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jul 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (62.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).