Loading shell…
OtherExpires Jul 1, 2026

Vicky Chun out as Yale AD by June 30, 2026?

Probability

45¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

-1.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$375.16

Probability (last 7 days)

+30.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:40
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 45¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1594h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 62.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 1594.3h

    LOW
  • 13:41Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 1594h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -3.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 24.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 44¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 16.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 14.0pp

    to 43¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 19.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 23.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 16.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 15.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 27.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 25.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 28.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 14.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 21.0pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Victoria Chun ceases to be the Athletic Director at Yale University for any length of time between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Victoria Chun’s resignation or firing before the market’s end date will immediately resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from Yale University and/or Victoria Chun; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jul 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (62.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).