Will AC Milan place 2nd for the 2025-26 Serie A season?
Probability
22¢
1h
-4.5pp
24h
-18.0pp
24h Vol
$42.87
Liquidity
$384.80
Probability (last 7 days)
+11.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 18pp over 24h
Now 22¢; -4.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 874h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 27.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 874.2h
- 13:45SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 874h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 13:44PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 23¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 26¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 23¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 22¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.5pp
to 21¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 22¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 24¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 22¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 26¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 22¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 23¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 33¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 40¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 42¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 52¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 17.5pp
to 53¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 54¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 15.5pp
to 54¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.5pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 29.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 35.0pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 38.5pp
to 49¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025-2026 Serie A season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Serie A as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-2026 Serie A season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Serie A season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Serie A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (27.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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