SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Sep 25, 2026

Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?

Probability

43¢

1h

+1.0pp

24h

-15.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$71.43

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 00:00Apr 26, 2026, 04:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Down 16pp over 24h

    Now 43¢; +1.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3644h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 3

    Wide spread — 86.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 3643.6h

    LOW
  • 04:25Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3644h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-13.5pp over the last 24h, now 45¢.

Biggest hourly move: +22.0pp at 1d ago (to 66¢).

Show top 8 of 25 hourly moves
  • 19:00 · +18.5pp → 66¢
  • 09:00 · +12.0pp → 59¢
  • 08:00 · +15.0pp → 59¢
  • 1d ago · +22.0pp → 66¢
  • 1d ago · +15.5pp → 65¢
  • 1d ago · -12.0pp → 35¢
  • 2d ago · -13.0pp → 35¢
  • 2d ago · -13.0pp → 35¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by WNBA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled, postponed after October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Sep 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Confidence
extracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (86.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.