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OtherMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 1, 2026

Will Alejandro Grimaldo have the most assists during the 2025-26 Bundesliga season?

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-0.1pp

24h Vol

$5.00

Liquidity

$176.70

Probability (last 7 days)

-4.8pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 16:05
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 872h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $177 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 871.9h

    LOW
  • 16:05Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 872h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 17.7pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 44.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 19.8pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 29.4pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 33.3pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Price

    Probability up 38.6pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -39.4pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -39.1pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.6pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.7pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.8pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.8pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the player with the most assists in the 2025-2026 Bundesliga season. Only assists recorded in Bundesliga matches will count. Assists in other competitions (e.g., DFB Pokal, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the most assists, the market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other” The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the Bundesliga (https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga/stats/players/assists); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Jun 1, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).