Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo?
Probability
9¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-0.5pp
24h Vol
$4.06
Liquidity
$710.56
Probability (last 7 days)
-12.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5977h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 8.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5977.2h
- 22:49SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5977h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 9¢.
Biggest hourly move: -14.0pp at 4d ago (to 8¢).
Show top 8 of 33 hourly moves
- 3d ago · -12.5pp → 10¢
- 4d ago · -12.0pp → 9¢
- 4d ago · -14.0pp → 8¢
- 4d ago · -11.5pp → 10¢
- 4d ago · -13.0pp → 8¢
- 4d ago · -14.0pp → 8¢
- 4d ago · -12.0pp → 9¢
- 4d ago · -13.0pp → 9¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
1Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the MacBook Neo is no longer available for purchase from Apple by the public by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Announcements from Apple indicating intent to stop offering the MacBook Neo for purchase by the general public on a specific date will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced date is within this market's timeframe. Announcements that do not indicate a specific date, or which are contingent on future events will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be statements from Apple or a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryconsensus of credible reportingTypeNews consensusConfidenceextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.