SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 24, 2026

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025-26 UEFA Women's Champions League?

Probability

15¢

1h

-7.0pp

24h

+12.6pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$97.44

Probability (last 7 days)

-16.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 01:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:00
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 13pp over 24h

    Now 15¢; -7.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 677h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 26.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 677.0h

    LOW
  • 19:00Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 677h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+12.4pp over the last 24h, now 15¢.

Biggest hourly move: -39.1pp at 11:00 (to 2¢).

Show all 32 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 19:00 · +3.3pp → 15¢
  • 15:00 · -25.7pp → 2¢
  • 14:00 · -30.6pp → 2¢
  • 12:00 · -30.1pp → 2¢
  • 11:00 · -39.1pp → 2¢
  • 09:00 · -25.1pp → 2¢
  • 08:00 · -25.1pp → 2¢
  • 06:00 · -25.1pp → 2¢
  • 05:00 · -31.6pp → 2¢
  • 03:00 · -25.1pp → 2¢
  • 02:00 · -25.1pp → 2¢
  • 00:00 · -25.1pp → 2¢
  • 23:00 · -24.9pp → 3¢
  • 21:00 · -17.1pp → 10¢
  • 20:00 · -25.1pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -25.1pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -31.1pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -25.1pp → 2¢
  • 1d ago · -24.6pp → 3¢
  • 1d ago · -24.6pp → 3¢
  • 1d ago · -24.8pp → 3¢
  • 1d ago · -28.5pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -22.7pp → 5¢
  • 2d ago · -33.6pp → 7¢
  • 2d ago · -30.1pp → 5¢
  • 2d ago · -18.7pp → 15¢
  • 2d ago · -3.6pp → 30¢
  • 2d ago · -10.2pp → 28¢
  • 2d ago · -32.6pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -35.0pp → 3¢
  • 2d ago · -19.0pp → 13¢
  • 2d ago · -9.0pp → 24¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

10
Same eventUEFA Women’s UCL: Winner
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the 2025-26 UEFA Women’s Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of 2025-26 UEFA Women’s Champions League season per the rules of UEFA Women’s Champions League (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after June 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 24, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (26.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

7 wallets
Open on Polymarket