Will Benfica finish 2nd in the Primeira Liga for the 2025-26 season?

1. 1

   Down 13pp over 24h

   Now 38¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 1015h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 33.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club finishes 2nd in the final standings of the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Primeira Liga as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 2nd in the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season (e.g. they are mathematically unable to achieve enough points), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-2026 Primeira Liga season is cancelled, postponed after June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Primeira Liga. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.