Will Broadcom be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.1pp
24h
+0.3pp
24h Vol
$305.66
Liquidity
$6.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
-15.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 852h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $6.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 851.5h
- 18:29SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 852h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.2pp over the last 24h, now 1¢.
Biggest hourly move: -6.0pp at 2d ago (to 1¢).
Show all 2 hour-by-hour ticks
- 2d ago · -5.8pp → 1¢
- 2d ago · -6.0pp → 1¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.