Will Darmstadt 98 achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Probability
4¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-9.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$36.60
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 9pp over 24h
Now 4¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 701h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $37 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 701.2h
- 18:48SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 701h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 4¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 0¢0.0pp
Will Arminia Bielefeld achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will VfL Bochum achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Dynamo Dresden achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Fortuna Dusseldorf achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Holstein Kiel achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Preussen Munster achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 4¢-47.0pp
Will SV Elversberg achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Sports · Vol $237.55
- 0¢0.0pp
Will 1. FC Magdeburg achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026-27 season?
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+32.5pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $4.2M
- 100¢+40.5pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $3.9M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.8M
- 0¢-52.4pp
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.5M
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team achieves promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season at the conclusion of the current league season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Official promotion is defined as a team clinching a place in the Bundesliga for the 2026–27 season through their final standing in the Bundesliga 2, via playoff victory, or by any other official league decision recognized by the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. If the 2025-26 Bundesliga 2 season is cancelled, postponed after June 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there are no teams confirmed for promotion within that timeframe, the corresponding market will “No”. The primary resolution source will be official announcements from the Bundesliga and Bundesliga 2. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.