Will Donald Trump announce Brandon Williams as the next United States Labor Secretary
Probability
3¢
1h
-0.4pp
24h
+0.3pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$5.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $5.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 2¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.3pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.6pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -42.6pp
to 2¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 3¢+1.7pp
Will Donald Trump announce Patrick Pizzella as the next United States Labor Secretary
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 3¢+0.1pp
Will Donald Trump announce no one as the next United States Labor Secretary in 2026
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Donald Trump announce Person H as the next United States Labor Secretary
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Donald Trump announce Person L as the next United States Labor Secretary
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Donald Trump announce Person P as the next United States Labor Secretary
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Donald Trump announce Person R as the next United States Labor Secretary
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Donald Trump announce Person T as the next United States Labor Secretary
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 50¢0.0pp
Will Donald Trump announce another individual as the next United States Labor Secretary
Politics · Vol $0.00
- 2¢-1.8pp
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $643.3K
- 0¢-0.2pp
Trump out as President by April 30?
Politics · Vol $605.4K
- 5¢-0.1pp
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $507.4K
- 0¢+0.2pp
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics · Vol $384.5K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $342.1K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Politics · Vol $328.6K
Market Description
This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- —
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).