PoliticsExpires Dec 31, 2026

Will Donald Trump visit Alabama in 2026?

Probability

60¢

1h

-2.5pp

24h

+10.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$64.30

Probability (last 7 days)

+5.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:28
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 10pp over 24h

    Now 60¢; -2.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5981h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 59.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5980.5h

    LOW
  • 19:28Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5981h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 61¢.

Biggest hourly move: +29.0pp at 09:00 (to 62¢).

Show all 33 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:00 · -7.5pp → 54¢
  • 15:00 · +4.5pp → 53¢
  • 14:00 · +7.5pp → 56¢
  • 12:00 · +13.5pp → 62¢
  • 11:00 · +4.0pp → 50¢
  • 09:00 · +29.0pp → 62¢
  • 07:00 · -5.5pp → 58¢
  • 03:00 · -3.0pp → 61¢
  • 02:00 · -12.0pp → 52¢
  • 23:00 · -8.5pp → 55¢
  • 21:00 · -13.5pp → 50¢
  • 1d ago · -4.5pp → 57¢
  • 1d ago · -7.5pp → 56¢
  • 1d ago · -4.0pp → 60¢
  • 1d ago · -3.5pp → 61¢
  • 1d ago · -6.5pp → 52¢
  • 1d ago · -4.0pp → 61¢
  • 2d ago · -3.0pp → 57¢
  • 2d ago · -4.0pp → 61¢
  • 2d ago · -6.5pp → 57¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 53¢
  • 2d ago · -16.5pp → 49¢
  • 2d ago · -3.5pp → 54¢
  • 2d ago · -13.0pp → 51¢
  • 2d ago · +6.5pp → 62¢
  • 2d ago · -14.5pp → 49¢
  • 2d ago · +8.5pp → 61¢
  • 2d ago · +3.5pp → 53¢
  • 3d ago · -8.0pp → 49¢
  • 3d ago · -22.5pp → 40¢
  • 3d ago · -4.0pp → 49¢
  • 3d ago · -14.5pp → 46¢
  • 3d ago · -14.0pp → 38¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventWhich states will Donald Trump visit in 2026?
Category · Politics

Market Description

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Official government informationOfficial government sourceextracted · high
twitter.com
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (59.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

5 wallets
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