Will Ethena reach $0.70 by December 31, 2026?
Probability
11¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-0.1pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$345.46
Probability (last 7 days)
-12.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Wide spread — 15.1¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 13:22SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 11¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.9pp
to 11¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.9pp
to 11¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 11¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.8pp
to 11¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 11¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.1pp
to 11¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 11¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.1pp
to 11¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.7pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.7pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.8pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.8pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.8pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.3pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.9pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.8pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.8pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.8pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.8pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.1pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.9pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.1pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.9pp
to 11¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethena (ENA/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ENA/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ENA_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ENA/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (15.1¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).