Will Ethena reach $0.48 by December 31, 2026?
Probability
16¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$961.02
Probability (last 7 days)
-19.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 16¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 21.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:56SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.0pp
to 17¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 17¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 17¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 16¢+2.0pp
Will Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 16¢0.0pp
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 28¢0.0pp
Will Ethena reach $0.32 by December 31, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 7¢-0.9pp
Will Ethena reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 15¢+0.5pp
Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+18.4pp
Will Ethena dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+43.0pp
Will Ethena dip to $0.12 by December 31, 2026?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 66¢+32.5pp
Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?
Other · Vol $8.00
- 79¢+1.0pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $1.6M
- 0¢-38.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $878.9K
- 65¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $484.6K
- 0¢-1.8pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $471.8K
- 100¢+49.5pp
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $471.0K
- 100¢+59.5pp
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $419.5K
Market Description
This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Binance 1-minute candle for Ethena (ENA/USDT) between November 24, 2025, 15:45 and December 31, 2026, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final “High” price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ENA/USDT “High” prices available at: https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ENA_USDT with the chart set to “1m” (one-minute candles) on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance ENA/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Binance spot pairExchange priceextracted · highbinance.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (21.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.