Will Franco Poggio win Big Brother Argentina 2026?
Probability
47¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$122.12
Probability (last 7 days)
+22.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5975h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 93.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5975.3h
- 00:40SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5975h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 47¢.
Biggest hourly move: +25.0pp at 3d ago (to 47¢).
Show top 8 of 43 hourly moves
- 2d ago · +25.0pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · +25.0pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · +25.0pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · +25.0pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · +25.0pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · +25.0pp → 47¢
- 2d ago · +25.0pp → 47¢
- 3d ago · +25.0pp → 47¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to the contestant who wins Big Brother Argentina 2026. If Big Brother Argentina 2026 concludes without a winner being declared, or if Big Brother Argentina 2026 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed contestant whose name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will remain open until the conclusion of the season. The resolution source for this market will be the official broadcast of the final episode of Big Brother Argentina 2026.
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
Not stated explicitly in the metadata. Read the full market rules below before treating any move as a resolved fact.
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (93.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.