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SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Nov 12, 2026

Will Hunter Brown win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Probability

15¢

1h

+0.1pp

24h

+10.1pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$2.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

-8.6pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:37
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 10pp over 24h

    Now 15¢; +0.1pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 4810h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 30.5¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 4810.4h

    LOW
  • 13:38Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 4810h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 10.4pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 7¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 6.1pp

    to 11¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability up 8.8pp

    to 14¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 11.9pp

    to 15¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 3.7pp

    to 6¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.3pp

    to 9¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 35.8pp

    to 41¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 26.1pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.9pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 20¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 17.9pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Nov 12, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
  • Wide spread (30.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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